[Day 8] Ser Sandor Redwyne vs Ser Cleyton Bolton [R6]

It's the 20-22-16 in the dice string (so can't be unhorsed by DP use on the first three rolls, unless you burn or use more than one maybe), given the relative strength level vs Cleyton, it is highly likely that the opportunity to use a DP to unseat him won't come. Most likely you might have to roll out the DP now to bring him down to your level if you want to use it to win, else he'll probably work up an unassailable DoS lead and, but I'd assume him to have at least a 50-50 chance of victory even if you do, while hoping for a chance for a DP sniped victory saves you the point for another time if the opportunity doesn't come.

It goes on for nine rounds, actually, but Cleyton could chose to yield now for +1 chivalry as Sandor got 3 DoS on him and they all broke their lances, however if Cleyton can keep it going for 9 rounds breaking all lances and keep his seat, he also gains +1 chivalry for sticking it out till the end, and there's always a chance of a DP being able to grant victory over 6 sets of rolls. Also a chance for Cleyton being unhorsed or fail to beak one of his lances in the next 6 tilts, and then he gets nothing.

Ser Sandor appears to have victory well within his grasp after consistently riding and hitting better after the first three rounds, but on his fourth tilt his lance glances off Ser Cleyton's shield without breaking. Frustrated with this unlucky turns of events, he throws all caution to the wind to claw back the victory by unhorsing as seems to be his only chance. He almost manages to throw Cleyton on the next pass, but the Northman holds fast. On the sixth pass, it is Ser Sandor that falls victim to the risk he took, falling off the horse and his opponent, whose name almost none in the Reach even had heard of a short week ago is just one match away from the final 8!

---

And then orokos decides to bring us another upset!

Sandor N: 3#6d6k4+4 12 25 22 3#6d6k4+1 18 16 14 3#4d6 18 9 11
Huh, well that makes him add HiS+A3+HS for rounds 5 and 6, results adjusted accordingly, which is not enough to unhorse you, but he gets hoisted by his own petard.

And it's Full Plate and Superior Destrier for ransom

Or you could take the money, the Redwynes are filthy rich and Sandor is good enough that he probably wins more in ransom and prizes than he loses, perhaps not so many prizes though, considering that his brother probably also attends the tourneys he partake in.

Not ransoming the horse back is considered very, very rude. But you could buy an equally good horse for the very same ransom.