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Post by Father on Jul 11, 2018 22:58:05 GMT 1
Tempting to throw in an NPC to join the party, but nah.
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Post by Alliser on Jul 20, 2018 7:53:22 GMT 1
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Post by Septon Abelar on Jul 23, 2018 1:04:03 GMT 1
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Post by Titus Blackbriar on Jul 24, 2018 9:53:44 GMT 1
"My Lord, if I may ask, why does everyone hate the Dornish so much? I have never met a Dornishman, but I find it doubtful they would be much different than any other men. From the stories I have heard, they simply defended their lands as every other King and Kingdom did at the time. Are they hated because they succeeded where everyone else failed?" Apply milk of the poppy to burned area
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Post by Balon Blackbriar on Jul 25, 2018 6:22:02 GMT 1
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Malyk
House Levalle
Posts: 648
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Post by Malyk on Jul 25, 2018 6:54:09 GMT 1
Not sure if you are interested in the math, but Rank 5 in an ability puts you in .1% of the population.
Rolling a 28 or higher on 5d6 happens .3% of the time.
So rare as compared to the median as to absolutely astound those who witness it.
I think we get so used to rolling numbers that we lose sight of what rolls like this actually mean. Even 'good' numbers (in the high teens) are far and above what the average population can achieve.
It might not be 'rip his arm off' level, but it's very possibly in the realm of 'snap his forearm like a twig' level.
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Post by Roland Cordwayner on Jul 25, 2018 7:17:32 GMT 1
Plus breaking the arm of a good jouster will get tongues wagging, particularly if it is one of the King's supporters! All drama, all the time.
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Post by Roland Cordwayner on Jul 25, 2018 9:54:46 GMT 1
Should add (while delighted if this produces a cool story moment and increases tensions) - I don't know if we'd want to wed ourselves to a particular statistical distribution on abilities, as I think that's the narrator's job. Plus a normal distribution wouldn't really work here: the abilities are discrete rather than continuous and they're skewed to the right (as there is a hard limit at zero but some people have abilities at 7 or even higher with Blood of Heroes). I'm assuming ability rank 2 as "typical" (probably the mode?) rather than a genuine mathematical mean or "average" as the rulebook has it. Apologies for extending maths chat in thread for awesome things (should also add apologies if you've adjusted for these already!)...
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Post by Father on Jul 25, 2018 21:49:55 GMT 1
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Post by Laena Pyre on Jul 26, 2018 1:30:33 GMT 1
If any man questions the septon's hatred of sin, Peels away fiery judgment in search of a lord’s desire, His flesh attests truly, that the guilt burns hottest within. The red ruin does not betwixt shoulder and hip expire, Telling that its author left no discipline Without mark—a bright scar for each sin require’d; And they paint a hist’ry of a man whose Passions rival the strength of the pews, By the lash, mortal urges are banished away, But only for a day. No comment required.
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Post by Balon Blackbriar on Jul 26, 2018 5:16:55 GMT 1
More statistical anomalies in Arm wrestling.
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Malyk
House Levalle
Posts: 648
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Post by Malyk on Jul 26, 2018 5:32:36 GMT 1
Well. Rank 3 in an ability is Talented (about 13.6% of the population). Rolling a 3 on 4d6k3 is less than .1% So, yeah, pretty bad.
Rolling a 6 or less on 3d6 is about 10%, so not particularly unusual.
Nerdgasm follows. Those who aren't statistical math geeks can happily ignore. Rank 0 Lacking (0.1% - 3 SD below the mean) Any being with rank 0 in an ability essentially lacks it altogether and cannot roll tests or perform actions related to that ability. For game purposes, humans with a rank of 0 in any ability are a practical impossiblity as such a limitation would have almost always resulted in an inability to survive given the culture and technology present in Westeros. Rank 1 Deficient (15.5% - Between 1 and 3 SD below the mean) Routine tasks are a challenge, often resulting from some significant condition such as a physical limitation or mental deficiency. Statistically, this rank represents a rather wide range below the mean, just less than 1/6th of the population. Rank 2 Average (68.2% - Within 1 SD of the mean) Routine tasks are handled with ease. Encompasses more than 2/3rds of the population. Rank 3 Talented (13.6% - Between 1 and 2 SD above the mean) A cut above the common person, having rank 3 in an ability is significant and implies a special knack. Talented can also imply a minimum amount of training. In either case, it is enough to be recognized as setting one above the crowd. Represents about 1 out of every 8 people. Rank 4 Trained (2.1% - Between 2 and 3 SD above the mean) Demostrates talent and extensive training the ability that far exceeds that of the average individual, Challenging tasks can be tackled with very little trouble and, with a little luck, with some amazing results. About 1 out of every 50 people fall in this range. Rank 5 Accomplished (0.1% - Between 3 and 4 SD above the mean) surpassing the vast majority of trained peers, this is often recognized as among the very best, if not the best in the region or country. Stunning feats and amazing results are not uncommon. This represents a very small portion of the population, perhaps less than even 1 in 1,000. Rank 6 Master (< 0.1% - Between 4 and 5 SD above the mean) Considered one of the very best in the world and likely carries a degree of fame. Only a rare few individuals are at this level. There might be one such individual possessing this rank within a population of tens, (if not hundreds of thousands), of people. Rank 7 Paragon (< 0.1% - Between 5 and 6 SD above the mean) Paragon represents the height of human potential, the practical limit of mortal achievement. So rare is this rank, people with this level of ability are considered legends. Litterally, one in a million. Rank 8 or Higher "Mythic" (<0.1% - Exceeding the mean by more than 6 SD) Aside from status, it is practically impossible for a mortal character to have rank 8 or more. Exceptions to the rule depend on the ability, and are typically reserved to bold men and women from the Age of Heroes, like Brandon the Builder and Lann the Clever. More contemporary examples would include Nymeria and Aegon the Conqueror.
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Post by Balon Blackbriar on Jul 26, 2018 5:43:52 GMT 1
Rolling 4 1s is honestly the worst ASOIAF roll I've ever seen.
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Malyk
House Levalle
Posts: 648
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Post by Malyk on Jul 26, 2018 5:59:45 GMT 1
Rolling 4 1s is honestly the worst ASOIAF roll I've ever seen.
Rolling all 1's on a roll in my live game is called a catastrophic failure.
Very, VERY bad things happen on a catastrophic failure.
The worst I have ever seen is all 1's on six dice. Or 1 in 7776.
Edit: Sorry. 1 in 7776 is the odds of rolling all the same number. I believe it's actually 1 in 46656 to roll all ones.
To put that in perspective, the odds of getting hit by lightning in your lifetime is about 1 in 3000.
Of course, the odds of winning the grand prize in a lottery, depending on the lottery, is about 1 in 25M. That doesn't seem to stop anyone from buying tickets.
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Post by Ser Donnel Blackbriar on Jul 26, 2018 14:30:36 GMT 1
Leana is almost at the procession, so she may be seen honouring a fallen septa, as a proper pious lady should, when she hears the baying of the crowds. She takes a moment to look around the corner, assessing the situation, then turns around, and starts briskly walking away. When there are yells to 'purge filth from among us', those of natural birth are best elsewhere.😁😁😁
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